With the Detroit Lions locking quarterback Jared Goff up on a four-year, $212M contract extension and subsequently making him the second-highest paid QB in the NFL at $53M per season, some have wondered who will be the next signal-caller to cash in on a lucrative quarterback market.
Many expect it to be Trevor Lawrence, who’s reportedly working toward a new deal with the Jacksonville Jaguars. But former QB turned ESPN analyst Dan Orlovsky doesn’t believe that Lawrence has earned that kind of payday just yet.
“There’s no way we can sit here and say he deserves elite money right now,” Orlovsky said on “NFL Live.” “He’s an elite talent, and you would be paying him because you expect him to become an elite quarterback. You would expect him to finally vault into, for the year, the top-eight quarterback conversation … Trevor hasn’t ascended into that just yet.”
Three years into his NFL career, Lawrence is right on the bubble of good-but-not-great. He’s averaged 235.4 yards passing per game and thrown 58 touchdowns to 39 interceptions with a completion percentage of 63.8 and a passer rating of 85 — both below the league average.
However, if Lawrence gets the going rate for a quarterback in 2024, his next deal should pay him around $50M annually, which would make him one of the six highest-paid QBs in the NFL.
@TomPelissero
— Rich Eisen Show (@RichEisenShow) May 21, 2024
Trevor Lawrence extension rumors are hot, so we asked the @nflnetwork insider who’ll be the next QB to break the bank:#NFL #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/2KxfRxDYKt
Only Goff, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow ($55M per year), Los Angeles’ Justin Herbert ($52.5M per year), Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson ($52M per year) and Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts ($51M per year) would be in the same neighborhood.
Orlovsky seemed to suggest if Lawrence were to wait a bit and take the next step in his development into the top tier of passers, he could potentially earn more by playing the long game.
“I wouldn’t rush and sign if I was Trevor Lawrence,” Orlovsky added. “…There’s no way the Jags (look at him and) go, ‘elite money.’ They’re 17-16 with him as the starting quarterback [the last two years] and he’s got what 42 touchdowns and 22 picks? So good … but certainly not into that elite conversation just yet.”
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